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    Group JWed, Jun 17, 1:00 AM UTC
    Argentina
    vs
    Algeria

    Arrowhead Stadium · Kansas City

    Win probability

    Argentina 68%
    Draw 21%
    Algeria 11%

    Argentina are heavy favourites.

    The story

    Algeria are unbeaten in 87 of their last 95 matches and have kept clean sheets in four of their last five, conceding just 0.4 goals per match across that run. Argentina return to the World Cup for the first time in over 1,200 days, though they won all four of their matches at the last tournament, with Lionel Messi — their highest-rated player across those games — absent for this one. Eight of the last nine World Cup meetings between these sides have finished under 3.5 goals.

    What the data says

    • Algeria have won 13 out of their 16 most recent matches.
    • Argentina have won 4 out of their 4 most recent World Cup matches.
    • Algeria are unbeaten in 87 out of their 95 most recent matches.

    What other predictors are saying

    57 predictors

    Argentina

    88%

    Draw

    7%

    Algeria

    5%

    Most popular pick: 2-0

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