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    Group GTue, Jun 16, 1:00 AM UTC
    Iran
    vs
    New Zealand

    SoFi Stadium

    Win probability

    Iran 51%
    Draw 28%
    New Zealand 21%

    Iran have the edge — but it's far from a lock.

    The story

    Iran last appeared in a World Cup match on 29 November 2022, over 1,294 days ago, while New Zealand arrive having won their most recent fixture 1-0 on 6 June. Neither side has opened the scoring in their last five relevant matches, and five of the last six World Cup meetings between these teams have finished under 2.5 goals.

    What the data says

    • New Zealand have lost 9 out of their 11 most recent matches.

    What other predictors are saying

    56 predictors

    Iran

    57%

    Draw

    20%

    New Zealand

    23%

    Most popular pick: 1-0

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