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    Group FSun, Jun 14, 8:00 PM UTC
    Netherlands
    vs
    Japan

    AT&T Stadium · Arlington

    Win probability

    Netherlands 47%
    Draw 27%
    Japan 26%

    Netherlands have the edge — but it's far from a lock.

    The story

    Netherlands are unbeaten in 83 of their 100 most recent matches, with Memphis Depay carrying the highest average rating (7.86) and average xGOT (0.55) among their players over that recent stretch. Japan last played a World Cup match 1,291 days ago, a 2-1 win on 2022-12-01, and have not scored an early goal in any of their six most recent World Cup appearances. Under 3.5 goals has been the outcome in four of the last five World Cup meetings between these two sides.

    What other predictors are saying

    58 predictors

    Netherlands

    59%

    Draw

    24%

    Japan

    17%

    Most popular pick: 2-1

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