AT&T Stadium · Arlington
Win probability
Netherlands have the edge — but it's far from a lock.
The story
Netherlands are unbeaten in 83 of their 100 most recent matches, with Memphis Depay carrying the highest average rating (7.86) and average xGOT (0.55) among their players over that recent stretch. Japan last played a World Cup match 1,291 days ago, a 2-1 win on 2022-12-01, and have not scored an early goal in any of their six most recent World Cup appearances. Under 3.5 goals has been the outcome in four of the last five World Cup meetings between these two sides.
What other predictors are saying
58 predictorsNetherlands
59%
Draw
24%
Japan
17%
Most popular pick: 2-1
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