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    Group KWed, Jun 17, 5:00 PM UTC
    Portugal
    vs
    DR Congo

    NRG Stadium · Houston

    Win probability

    Portugal 74%
    Draw 17%
    DR Congo 9%

    Portugal are heavy favourites.

    The story

    Portugal are unbeaten in all five of their most recent home World Cup matches and have opened the scoring in five of their last five World Cup games, while Bruno Fernandes leads their squad with an average match rating of 7.69 across their ten most recent World Cup appearances. Congo DR arrive unbeaten in nine of their last eleven matches, with Gaël Kakuta posting the highest xG and average rating in the squad over that same span. The last three head-to-head meetings between these sides have all finished under 1.5 goals.

    What the data says

    • Portugal have won 4 out of their 4 most recent home World Cup matches.

    What other predictors are saying

    56 predictors

    Portugal

    98%

    Draw

    0%

    DR Congo

    2%

    Most popular pick: 2-0

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